Pavia vs Bassano Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 1
PAV
69%
20%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAV
0 - 1
USC
14%
23%
63%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 0
PAV
67%
22%
12%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PAV
2 - 1
SPE
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
PAV
1 - 0
PAG
23%
27%
50%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Bassano Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
BV5
1 - 0
PER
28%
28%
44%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ASS
2 - 0
BV5
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
BV5
2 - 1
SOR
22%
25%
54%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +3 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 1
BV5
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
RAV
1 - 1
BV5
74%
18%
8%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | +1 |