Pavia vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
REG
0 - 0
PAV
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
VER
1 - 0
PAV
79%
15%
7%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PAV
2 - 2
MAN
68%
20%
13%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
USA
2 - 1
PAV
39%
29%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
USA
3 - 1
PAV
31%
27%
41%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ACL
2 - 3
BV5
24%
27%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CUN
2 - 0
ACL
35%
27%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 2
FCS
33%
28%
39%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FER
2 - 1
ACL
50%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 1
CTT
15%
25%
60%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |