AC Paranavaí vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
4 - 2
PAR
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
JMA
2 - 2
ACP
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 2
CIA
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACP
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ACP
0 - 3
COT
12%
19%
69%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 3
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 0
RIO
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
ATP
0 - 2
OPE
83%
12%
5%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
3 - 4
OPE
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 0
CCR
63%
22%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |