Série C Brazil Round 4

AC Paranavaí vs Chapecoense analysis

AC Paranavaí Chapecoense
50 ELO 60
1.3% Tilt -6.8%
7863º General ELO ranking 615º
324º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
32%
AC Paranavaí
25.8%
Draw
42.2%
Chapecoense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
AC Paranavaí
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.2%
Win probability
Chapecoense
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AC Paranavaí
+14%
+16%
Chapecoense

ELO progression

AC Paranavaí
Chapecoense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AC Paranavaí
AC Paranavaí
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2007
CHA
Chapecoense
3 - 0
AC Paranavaí
ACP
62%
23%
15%
52 60 8 0
14 Jul. 2007
ACP
AC Paranavaí
1 - 4
Roma Apucarana
ROM
67%
19%
14%
53 44 9 -1
07 Jul. 2007
CAN
Canoas SC
1 - 1
AC Paranavaí
ACP
49%
25%
25%
54 54 0 -1
06 May. 2007
PAR
Paraná
0 - 0
AC Paranavaí
ACP
80%
14%
6%
54 80 26 0
29 Apr. 2007
ACP
AC Paranavaí
1 - 0
Paraná
PAR
14%
20%
66%
53 81 28 +1

Matches

Chapecoense
Chapecoense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jul. 2007
CHA
Chapecoense
3 - 0
AC Paranavaí
ACP
62%
23%
15%
60 52 8 0
14 Jul. 2007
CHA
Chapecoense
0 - 2
Canoas SC
CAN
66%
21%
13%
63 53 10 -3
07 Jul. 2007
ROM
Roma Apucarana
1 - 0
Chapecoense
CHA
21%
24%
55%
64 43 21 -1
06 May. 2007
CRI
Criciúma
2 - 2
Chapecoense
CHA
50%
22%
28%
65 63 2 -1
29 Apr. 2007
CHA
Chapecoense
1 - 0
Criciúma
CRI
45%
24%
31%
64 64 0 +1