AC Paranavaí vs Arapongas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ACP
0 - 3
LON
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
OPE
2 - 1
ACP
54%
23%
22%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 3
ATP
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACP
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
2 - 3
TCW
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arapongas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
IRA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ROM
0 - 1
ARA
35%
25%
39%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
CIA
38%
25%
38%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
ARA
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
ATP
12%
19%
68%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +2 |