AC Monza vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ASS
0 - 2
SER
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASS
14%
24%
63%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ASS
4 - 1
MAP
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASS
15%
24%
61%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 1
PRO
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PIA
4 - 0
VBE
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 2
PER
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CIS
2 - 0
VBE
66%
18%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
0 - 3
INV
37%
23%
41%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 0
VBE
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |