AC Monza vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
CES
0 - 1
ASS
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 2
GEN
28%
29%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
REG
0 - 0
ASS
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 0
ASL
39%
30%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
TRE
0 - 0
VER
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
LEC
0 - 1
TRE
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
CES
2 - 3
TRE
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
TRE
1 - 0
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
TRE
2 - 2
COS
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |