AC Monza vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
TRI
3 - 1
ASS
55%
26%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ASS
3 - 0
USA
59%
22%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 3
CAG
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASS
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
ASS
3 - 1
SSS
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
LAZ
0 - 0
USA
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
PRO
0 - 0
LAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
TRI
0 - 1
LAZ
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
LAZ
2 - 3
PAD
46%
26%
27%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |