AC Monza vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
USA
0 - 0
ASS
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 1
MAN
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
REN
2 - 1
ASS
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 5
ASS
32%
25%
42%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 1
CAS
77%
16%
8%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 1
FOR
28%
25%
47%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAV
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 2
PRO
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
REN
0 - 4
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |