AC Monza vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
20.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
USC
1 - 1
ASS
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ASS
3 - 4
SOR
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
USA
1 - 2
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
ASS
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRG
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
LEC
2 - 2
ASF
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
USA
2 - 1
LEC
52%
26%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SOR
4 - 0
LEC
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
LEC
0 - 1
ARZ
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 3
LEC
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |