AC Monza vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ACL
0 - 1
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
GIU
1 - 1
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 1
FER
67%
21%
12%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
PIZ
1 - 1
ASS
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
GEN
21%
26%
53%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 1
CTT
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 1
PAV
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 1
PIZ
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAV
27%
27%
46%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
PAV
1 - 0
PAD
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |