Serie B Round 12

Mantova vs Piacenza analysis

Mantova Piacenza
68 ELO 69
-11% Tilt -11.4%
1038º General ELO ranking 3974º
50º Country ELO ranking 133º
ELO win probability
44%
Mantova
28.3%
Draw
27.7%
Piacenza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
Mantova
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
27.7%
Win probability
Piacenza
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mantova
+6%
-3%
Piacenza

ELO progression

Mantova
Piacenza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2006
BRE
Brescia
0 - 0
Mantova
MAN
62%
23%
15%
68 75 7 0
04 Nov. 2006
MAN
Mantova
4 - 3
Cesena
CES
41%
28%
31%
67 68 1 +1
28 Oct. 2006
TRE
Treviso
1 - 1
Mantova
MAN
38%
28%
34%
67 64 3 0
21 Oct. 2006
MAN
Mantova
0 - 2
Bologna
BOL
34%
30%
36%
68 75 7 -1
14 Oct. 2006
SPE
Spezia
1 - 1
Mantova
MAN
29%
29%
42%
68 60 8 0

Matches

Piacenza
Piacenza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Nov. 2006
PIA
Piacenza
3 - 2
Lecce
LEC
39%
27%
34%
69 73 4 0
03 Nov. 2006
MOD
Modena
1 - 2
Piacenza
PIA
48%
28%
24%
68 72 4 +1
28 Oct. 2006
PIA
Piacenza
2 - 1
SSC Bari
BAR
54%
25%
21%
67 66 1 +1
21 Oct. 2006
FRO
Frosinone
0 - 1
Piacenza
PIA
37%
27%
36%
67 59 8 0
14 Oct. 2006
PIA
Piacenza
1 - 0
Hellas Verona
VER
54%
25%
21%
66 65 1 +1