Mantova vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
PES
0 - 0
MAN
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 1
RIM
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 1
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
JUV
11%
22%
66%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
VER
0 - 3
MAN
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 0
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
PES
2 - 1
LEC
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 2
VIC
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |