Serie A Round 6

Mantova vs Cagliari analysis

Mantova Cagliari
72 ELO 78
-31% Tilt -25.1%
1053º General ELO ranking 93º
50º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
34.8%
Mantova
31%
Draw
34.2%
Cagliari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
Mantova
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
31%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
34.2%
Win probability
Cagliari
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mantova
+2%
+2%
Cagliari

ELO progression

Mantova
Cagliari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 1967
MAN
Mantova
1 - 0
Brescia
BRE
41%
30%
29%
72 72 0 0
15 Oct. 1967
ACM
Milan
3 - 1
Mantova
MAN
75%
17%
8%
72 86 14 0
08 Oct. 1967
SAM
Sampdoria
3 - 0
Mantova
MAN
50%
29%
21%
73 74 1 -1
01 Oct. 1967
MAN
Mantova
0 - 0
Inter
INT
16%
25%
59%
72 89 17 +1
24 Sep. 1967
JUV
Juventus
3 - 1
Mantova
MAN
73%
19%
9%
73 86 13 -1

Matches

Cagliari
Cagliari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 1967
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Cagliari
CAG
69%
20%
11%
78 86 8 0
15 Oct. 1967
CAG
Cagliari
1 - 1
Napoli
NAP
47%
28%
25%
78 82 4 0
08 Oct. 1967
CAG
Cagliari
2 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
59%
24%
17%
78 74 4 0
01 Oct. 1967
BOL
Bologna
2 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
75%
17%
8%
78 87 9 0
24 Sep. 1967
BRE
Brescia
2 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
43%
29%
29%
79 72 7 -1