Lega Pro Girone A Round 31

Mantova vs Bassano Virtus analysis

Mantova Bassano Virtus
47 ELO 54
-10.8% Tilt -4.6%
1059º General ELO ranking 4720º
50º Country ELO ranking 163º
ELO win probability
30.3%
Mantova
26.6%
Draw
43.1%
Bassano Virtus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
Mantova
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
43.1%
Win probability
Bassano Virtus
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mantova
+7%
+14%
Bassano Virtus

ELO progression

Mantova
Bassano Virtus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Mar. 2015
PAV
Pavia
2 - 1
Mantova
MAN
68%
20%
13%
48 58 10 0
21 Feb. 2015
MAN
Mantova
2 - 0
Pro Patria
PRO
52%
24%
23%
47 43 4 +1
16 Feb. 2015
ARZ
SS Arezzo
1 - 0
Mantova
MAN
45%
26%
29%
48 48 0 -1
07 Feb. 2015
MAN
Mantova
2 - 0
Renate
REN
43%
26%
31%
46 48 2 +2
30 Jan. 2015
VNZ
Venezia
1 - 0
Mantova
MAN
65%
20%
16%
47 52 5 -1

Matches

Bassano Virtus
Bassano Virtus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2015
BV5
Bassano Virtus
1 - 2
Novara
NOV
17%
24%
59%
53 66 13 0
22 Feb. 2015
ARZ
SS Arezzo
1 - 0
Bassano Virtus
BV5
30%
27%
43%
54 49 5 -1
15 Feb. 2015
BV5
Bassano Virtus
0 - 0
Cremonese
USC
37%
27%
36%
54 57 3 0
08 Feb. 2015
ABN
AlbinoLeffe
1 - 1
Bassano Virtus
BV5
44%
25%
31%
54 53 1 0
01 Feb. 2015
BV5
Bassano Virtus
1 - 0
Pordenone
POR
67%
20%
13%
54 42 12 0