Coppa Italia Group E Round 1

Mantova vs Atalanta analysis

Mantova Atalanta
66 ELO 71
-28.2% Tilt -26%
1051º General ELO ranking
50º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
40.2%
Mantova
26%
Draw
33.8%
Atalanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
Mantova
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.8%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mantova
+1%
-5%
Atalanta

ELO progression

Mantova
Atalanta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 1969
MAN
Mantova
2 - 2
Brescia
BRE
42%
27%
31%
66 71 5 0
31 Aug. 1969
MAN
Mantova
0 - 0
Juventus
JUV
24%
28%
48%
65 85 20 +1
22 Jun. 1969
SPA
SPAL
2 - 1
Mantova
MAN
52%
28%
20%
66 63 3 -1
15 Jun. 1969
MAN
Mantova
0 - 1
Perugia
PRG
53%
28%
20%
66 61 5 0
08 Jun. 1969
MAN
Mantova
2 - 0
Cesena
CES
47%
28%
25%
66 63 3 0

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 1969
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 1
Juventus
JUV
38%
27%
35%
71 85 14 0
31 Aug. 1969
BRE
Brescia
1 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
60%
21%
19%
71 72 1 0
18 May. 1969
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 2
Cagliari
CAG
33%
29%
38%
71 84 13 0
11 May. 1969
ROM
Roma
4 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
69%
20%
11%
72 79 7 -1
04 May. 1969
VER
Hellas Verona
1 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
52%
27%
21%
72 72 0 0