Serie A Round 30

Mantova vs Atalanta analysis

Mantova Atalanta
74 ELO 79
-12.6% Tilt -18.5%
1053º General ELO ranking
50º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
45.4%
Mantova
26.6%
Draw
28%
Atalanta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
Mantova
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mantova
+4%
-5%
Atalanta

ELO progression

Mantova
Atalanta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 1962
BOL
Bologna
3 - 0
Mantova
MAN
72%
16%
12%
74 81 7 0
04 Mar. 1962
MAN
Mantova
2 - 1
Roma
ROM
34%
26%
40%
73 84 11 +1
25 Feb. 1962
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Mantova
MAN
80%
13%
7%
74 89 15 -1
18 Feb. 1962
MAN
Mantova
2 - 2
Torino
TOR
48%
26%
26%
73 78 5 +1
11 Feb. 1962
MAN
Mantova
1 - 1
Vicenza
VIC
50%
25%
25%
73 75 2 0

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Mar. 1962
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 2
Palermo FC
PAL
58%
23%
19%
79 76 3 0
04 Mar. 1962
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 0
Catania
CAT
58%
23%
19%
79 76 3 0
25 Feb. 1962
TOR
Torino
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
53%
24%
23%
79 78 1 0
18 Feb. 1962
SAM
Sampdoria
1 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
57%
23%
20%
79 79 0 0
11 Feb. 1962
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 1
Bologna
BOL
41%
25%
34%
79 81 2 0