Lega Pro Round 4

Lumezzane vs Ternana Calcio analysis

Lumezzane Ternana Calcio
58 ELO 55
-6.2% Tilt -9.9%
3243º General ELO ranking 542º
109º Country ELO ranking 36º
ELO win probability
54.5%
Lumezzane
25.4%
Draw
20.1%
Ternana Calcio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
Lumezzane
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
20.1%
Win probability
Ternana Calcio
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lumezzane
-32%
-9%
Ternana Calcio

ELO progression

Lumezzane
Ternana Calcio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lumezzane
Lumezzane
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2011
CAR
AC Carpi
3 - 0
Lumezzane
ACL
34%
28%
38%
59 52 7 0
14 Sep. 2011
ACL
Lumezzane
0 - 3
Taranto
TAR
46%
28%
26%
60 63 3 -1
11 Sep. 2011
BEN
Benevento
3 - 0
Lumezzane
ACL
62%
23%
15%
61 68 7 -1
13 Aug. 2011
TOR
Torino
1 - 0
Lumezzane
ACL
64%
21%
15%
60 71 11 +1
07 Aug. 2011
ACL
Lumezzane
4 - 1
Pro Patria
PRO
65%
21%
14%
59 46 13 +1

Matches

Ternana Calcio
Ternana Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2011
TER
Ternana Calcio
2 - 1
Foligno Calcio
FOL
44%
25%
31%
54 54 0 0
12 Sep. 2011
TRI
Tritium
2 - 0
Ternana Calcio
TER
33%
29%
38%
55 47 8 -1
04 Sep. 2011
TER
Ternana Calcio
1 - 0
Viareggio Calcio
FCV
57%
24%
19%
53 51 2 +2
15 May. 2011
TER
Ternana Calcio
2 - 3
AS Andria BAT
ASA
53%
25%
22%
53 52 1 0
08 May. 2011
SIR
Siracusa
2 - 2
Ternana Calcio
TER
41%
29%
30%
53 50 3 0