Lumezzane vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
ASS
2 - 1
ACL
62%
24%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
USC
0 - 0
ACL
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
ACL
0 - 1
PIS
25%
27%
48%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
ACL
0 - 2
GEN
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ACL
2 - 1
EMP
18%
24%
59%
|
52 | 75 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 1
FIA
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ASL
2 - 1
MON
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
SIE
2 - 0
ASL
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
LEC
3 - 1
ASL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 2
TER
46%
26%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |