Lumezzane vs Grumellese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 1
ACL
10%
17%
73%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ACL
0 - 6
REZ
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -3 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LEC
0 - 1
ACL
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ACL
0 - 0
DAR
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 2
ACL
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grumellese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
GRU
2 - 1
CAR
39%
27%
35%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VBE
3 - 0
GRU
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
GRU
0 - 3
PON
22%
23%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CRE
2 - 1
GRU
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
DCA
0 - 0
GRU
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |