Lumezzane vs Giana Erminio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
29.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
REN
0 - 2
ACL
32%
29%
40%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 1
BRE
11%
18%
71%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
5 - 3
ACL
86%
11%
3%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ACL
0 - 0
PIA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ABN
1 - 2
ACL
27%
26%
47%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Giana Erminio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
GER
3 - 0
REN
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
GER
70%
20%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 0
GER
80%
14%
6%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
GER
87%
11%
3%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |