Lumezzane vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
43.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CTT
1 - 0
ACL
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ACL
2 - 1
USC
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
ACL
63%
22%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ACL
3 - 2
MAN
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PRO
1 - 2
ACL
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FER
3 - 1
ABN
75%
17%
9%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
REN
1 - 0
FER
18%
25%
57%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
REG
3 - 0
FER
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2016 |
FER
1 - 1
FCS
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |