Lumezzane vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACL
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ACL
2 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
13%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SIE
1 - 0
ACL
76%
17%
8%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ACL
0 - 0
LEC
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
BRE
2 - 3
ACL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 1
LIV
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
COM
1 - 1
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
SAN
1 - 1
VAR
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
VAR
0 - 0
USC
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ASL
1 - 1
VAR
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |