AC Este vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TRI
3 - 1
ACE
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ACE
1 - 1
BEL
49%
25%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CNO
0 - 1
ACE
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ACE
3 - 1
TAM
66%
21%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
AVI
0 - 0
ACE
56%
23%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
ECL
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 20 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
LEG
0 - 1
MES
18%
23%
60%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
MES
4 - 0
MON
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ASD
0 - 3
MES
22%
20%
58%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |