Coppa Italia Group Stage A Round 1

Cesena vs Sambenedettese analysis

Cesena Sambenedettese
72 ELO 60
-12.9% Tilt -12.4%
436º General ELO ranking 2633º
31º Country ELO ranking 87º
ELO win probability
69.7%
Cesena
18.5%
Draw
11.8%
Sambenedettese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
Cesena
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.8%
Win probability
Sambenedettese
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cesena
-4%
-2%
Sambenedettese

ELO progression

Cesena
Sambenedettese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cesena
Cesena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 1977
JUV
Juventus
0 - 0
Cesena
CES
82%
13%
5%
71 89 18 0
24 Aug. 1977
CES
Cesena
2 - 0
Hellas Verona
VER
52%
24%
24%
71 74 3 0
22 May. 1977
CES
Cesena
0 - 2
Milan
ACM
29%
29%
42%
71 83 12 0
15 May. 1977
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
Cesena
CES
65%
22%
13%
72 79 7 -1
08 May. 1977
CES
Cesena
2 - 3
Calcio Foggia
USF
56%
27%
18%
72 70 2 0

Matches

Sambenedettese
Sambenedettese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 1977
SSS
Sambenedettese
0 - 1
Brescia
BRE
54%
25%
21%
61 58 3 0
21 Aug. 1977
SSS
Sambenedettese
0 - 2
Juventus
JUV
14%
25%
61%
61 89 28 0
19 Jun. 1977
SSS
Sambenedettese
4 - 1
Lecce
LEC
36%
31%
33%
60 65 5 +1
12 Jun. 1977
VIC
Vicenza
2 - 1
Sambenedettese
SSS
65%
23%
12%
60 70 10 0
05 Jun. 1977
SSS
Sambenedettese
1 - 1
Rimini
RIM
46%
30%
24%
60 58 2 0