Cesena vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
59.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
PAL
22%
26%
52%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
GEN
1 - 1
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
CES
0 - 0
BOL
32%
29%
40%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 0
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CES
2 - 2
PAR
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
4 - 0
ROM
59%
22%
20%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 1
LAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 2
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 0
NAP
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
INT
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |