Cesena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
BOL
1 - 1
CES
75%
18%
8%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
CES
0 - 0
LAZ
38%
31%
31%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
USF
1 - 1
CES
56%
28%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
CES
1 - 0
VER
45%
30%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 0
CES
86%
11%
3%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
GEN
0 - 2
SAM
49%
30%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
JUV
3 - 0
GEN
86%
11%
4%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
GEN
2 - 1
ROM
40%
30%
31%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
VIC
1 - 1
GEN
58%
26%
16%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
GEN
0 - 1
FIO
32%
31%
37%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |