Cesena vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
TRI
0 - 2
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CES
1 - 0
CAT
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
TER
1 - 0
CES
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
CES
2 - 1
ABN
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2004 |
ASC
4 - 0
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2005 |
CRO
1 - 1
PRG
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SAL
1 - 1
CRO
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
CRO
3 - 0
PES
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
PIA
3 - 0
CRO
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CRO
2 - 0
VNZ
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |