Cesena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 4
CES
8%
16%
75%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CES
2 - 2
JUS
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
CES
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 1
CES
18%
26%
56%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 0
PAD
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ADB
0 - 1
PAD
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 2
SAS
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
PAD
0 - 1
VIC
38%
28%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 0
PAD
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |