Cesena vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 0
CES
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
FIO
27%
27%
45%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CES
0 - 0
CHI
32%
28%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
1 - 0
CES
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
LAZ
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 0
NAP
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 0
SIE
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 2
CAG
39%
26%
34%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 0
UDI
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 2
CAG
62%
20%
17%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |