Serie A Round 17

Cesena vs Cagliari analysis

Cesena Cagliari
71 ELO 80
-2.6% Tilt -17.6%
396º General ELO ranking 93º
31º Country ELO ranking 18º
ELO win probability
29.9%
Cesena
27.1%
Draw
43%
Cagliari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
Cesena
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
43%
Win probability
Cagliari
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cesena
+5%
+2%
Cagliari

ELO progression

Cesena
Cagliari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cesena
Cesena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2010
CES
Cesena
0 - 2
Bologna
BOL
36%
28%
37%
71 79 8 0
28 Nov. 2010
BAR
SSC Bari
1 - 1
Cesena
CES
60%
24%
16%
71 78 7 0
21 Nov. 2010
CES
Cesena
1 - 2
Palermo FC
PAL
20%
25%
55%
71 84 13 0
13 Nov. 2010
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Cesena
CES
73%
18%
9%
71 85 14 0
10 Nov. 2010
CES
Cesena
1 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
22%
27%
51%
70 84 14 +1

Matches

Cagliari
Cagliari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 2010
CAG
Cagliari
3 - 0
Catania
CAT
49%
26%
26%
80 81 1 0
05 Dec. 2010
FIO
Fiorentina
1 - 0
Cagliari
CAG
61%
22%
17%
80 85 5 0
28 Nov. 2010
CAG
Cagliari
3 - 2
Lecce
LEC
53%
25%
23%
80 76 4 0
25 Nov. 2010
CAG
Cagliari
0 - 3
Bologna
BOL
58%
23%
19%
81 78 3 -1
21 Nov. 2010
BRE
Brescia
1 - 2
Cagliari
CAG
34%
28%
38%
81 76 5 0