Cesena vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 1
CES
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CES
4 - 3
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
VNZ
1 - 0
CES
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
CES
1 - 1
BAR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
USC
1 - 0
CES
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CTT
1 - 3
NOV
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
PRG
1 - 3
CTT
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CTT
1 - 2
FRO
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 2
CTT
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 2
CTT
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |