AC Castellana vs Crociati Noceto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
45.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 0
ACC
53%
24%
24%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ACC
0 - 0
ACE
34%
26%
41%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
USR
2 - 0
ACC
55%
23%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACC
1 - 2
CAR
13%
21%
66%
|
24 | 55 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 0
ACC
31%
25%
44%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crociati Noceto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
SAN
45%
25%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
SUC
1 - 1
CRO
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
CSP
45%
26%
30%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 0
CRO
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
CRO
3 - 1
UCL
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |