Carlet vs San Marcelino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LEV
2 - 1
CAR
53%
21%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 2
CAT
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 0
CAR
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 3
BEN
52%
22%
27%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAR
55%
21%
23%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Marcelino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
FON
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MAS
3 - 1
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
JUV
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
IMP
2 - 1
MAR
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALC
31%
23%
46%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | -1 |