AC Bellinzona vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
LAU
0 - 1
BEL
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
BAS
1 - 1
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
BEL
1 - 2
ZUR
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
FCL
1 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
BEL
0 - 2
YOB
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 0
GCZ
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1987 |
SER
2 - 0
FCA
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 1
YOB
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1987 |
STG
0 - 0
FCA
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 2
ZUR
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |