Bellaria Igea vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bellaria Igea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VIN
0 - 1
SPA
17%
23%
61%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CUN
2 - 1
VIN
72%
19%
9%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 5
USA
35%
26%
39%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
REA
2 - 1
VIN
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIN
1 - 3
SAN
29%
28%
43%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 2
SAS
42%
26%
33%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
8%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CUN
1 - 1
MAN
61%
22%
16%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 0
USA
51%
24%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |