SS Arezzo vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 1
USA
31%
28%
42%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FER
0 - 0
ARZ
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ACL
1 - 2
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PAV
26%
28%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ARZ
60%
21%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BV5
3 - 2
PRO
63%
22%
16%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACL
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
GER
1 - 2
PRO
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 0
POR
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 1
COM
24%
26%
50%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |