SS Arezzo vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
2º
1º
41
9º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 61 |
2º
|
98.5% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
64% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
83.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
68% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
73% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 38 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
24.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
|
18º
|
32 | 32 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
ARZ
2 - 1
USP
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
ARZ
17%
23%
60%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASD
80%
13%
8%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 2
ARZ
12%
16%
73%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
PIA
1 - 2
ARZ
46%
25%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
ORV
57%
21%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 0
PRO
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 0
ORV
63%
19%
18%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 2
ARZ
12%
16%
73%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ORV
1 - 0
MPO
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |