SS Arezzo vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VFC
0 - 1
ARZ
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ARZ
4 - 1
CAS
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ARZ
1 - 1
FOL
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 1
ARZ
23%
25%
52%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ARZ
4 - 0
FIE
80%
13%
7%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
2 - 0
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPO
4 - 0
BAS
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FOL
1 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
BAS
1 - 1
PIA
38%
25%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |