Aglianese vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
ACA
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 3
SCA
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ACA
4 - 0
TRI
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 0
LEN
46%
26%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 0
RIM
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 1
MEZ
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
RIM
1 - 1
PRO
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
PRO
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PRO
2 - 0
CAT
34%
23%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
USR
3 - 2
PRO
59%
22%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |