Abrera B vs Incresa B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
39.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abrera B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VLA
4 - 3
ABR
50%
19%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PBC
1 - 6
ABR
52%
18%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ABR
1 - 1
COR
33%
22%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 1
ABR
63%
18%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ABR
0 - 4
SAN
41%
22%
38%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Incresa B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
INC
7 - 1
PBC
47%
20%
33%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
COR
2 - 2
INC
63%
17%
20%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
INC
0 - 4
ESP
31%
19%
50%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
INC
56%
20%
25%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
INC
1 - 6
CER
15%
16%
70%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |