Aboomoslem vs Mes Kerman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aboomoslem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
MAL
2 - 1
NAT
45%
29%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
NAT
1 - 1
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
EST
1 - 1
NAT
59%
24%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2007 |
NAT
3 - 2
ZOB
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
PAS
3 - 0
NAT
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mes Kerman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
SMK
2 - 0
PEG
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
PER
1 - 0
SMK
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
SAI
0 - 0
SMK
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2007 |
SAB
0 - 1
SMK
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SMK
1 - 3
BAR
52%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |