Abha vs Al-Shabab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
14º
12º
56
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Abha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ABH
2 - 1
ALR
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
ALR
1 - 0
ABH
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
ABH
0 - 0
ALF
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ALH
2 - 0
ABH
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ALA
1 - 1
ABH
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Shabab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
ALS
3 - 0
ALB
54%
25%
22%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ALS
2 - 1
BAL
81%
13%
5%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CEL
6 - 0
ALS
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 2
ALS
14%
20%
67%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ALS
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |