Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
63%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
HAV
2 - 0
ABE
34%
25%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TNS
4 - 1
ABE
86%
10%
4%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
ABE
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2020 |
ABE
2 - 2
TNS
6%
14%
80%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BAL
5 - 2
ABE
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
CON
2 - 0
FLI
81%
14%
5%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
CON
2 - 1
CEF
78%
15%
6%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
CON
25%
26%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |