Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
HAV
4 - 1
ABE
16%
20%
65%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 3
ABE
38%
24%
38%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAL
38%
25%
38%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 2
AIR
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
PRE
1 - 3
CON
19%
21%
60%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CON
3 - 1
RHY
47%
24%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 1
CON
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
LLA
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 0
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |