Aberystwyth Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 0
PRE
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
POR
3 - 0
ABE
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 3
CAM
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 2
TNS
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
ABE
3 - 0
LID
60%
22%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
CON
0 - 4
TNS
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PRE
1 - 2
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
PRE
40%
22%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2013 |
CON
2 - 1
BAL
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
CON
51%
24%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |