Aberystwyth Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
NEW
2 - 3
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
ABE
1 - 0
CON
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2004 |
ABE
2 - 0
LLA
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 1
ABE
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ABE
1 - 0
AIR
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
POR
1 - 1
CEF
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 3
TNS
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CEF
1 - 3
CWM
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
HAV
1 - 1
CEF
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
33%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |