Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STM
2 - 1
ABE
33%
28%
40%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
0 - 2
STJ
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
ABE
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
2 - 2
HIB
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 3
MHE
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 2
KIL
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
KIL
1 - 2
GLA
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
ABE
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 1
KIL
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
KIL
2 - 0
COV
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | +1 |