Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 4
ABE
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 2
ABE
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
0 - 0
HOM
35%
29%
35%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
ICT
2 - 1
ABE
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ABE
1 - 0
HIB
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
DUN
1 - 1
KIL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
KIL
2 - 1
STM
60%
22%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
STJ
2 - 0
KIL
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
CEL
2 - 1
KIL
71%
19%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
KIL
1 - 1
DUN
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |