Aberdeen vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ICT
2 - 0
ABE
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ABE
2 - 3
GLA
27%
27%
46%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ABE
3 - 2
RAI
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
MHE
1 - 1
ABE
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
DUN
3 - 1
ABE
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HOM
1 - 2
GLA
28%
28%
44%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
HOM
0 - 2
MHE
47%
28%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
FAL
4 - 3
HOM
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
ICT
1 - 3
HOM
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CEL
3 - 0
HOM
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |